The Institute of Applied Mathematics invites experts in special topics to convey the knowledge in their fields to enhance the vision and experience of the researchers and students. These special seminars such as series of talks or lectures are made accessible online with the consent of the author. The Institute is thankful to the all contributors for their time and engagements.


Schedule


Affiliation: Financial Mathematics

Speaker: Özenç Murat Mert

Date/Time: 4.12.2025 - 15.00

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: This study explores the optimal risk diversification for a reinsurer that manages two separate stop-loss contracts with two distinct insurers. A practical stochastic framework is introduced, utilizing the Heston model to approximate the distribution of aggregate claims generated by two correlated processes. The core of the analysis involves determining the optimal barrier levels (retention and cap) for these contracts. This optimization is designed to meet two criteria: ensuring fair cost-sharing between the reinsurer and the primary insurers, and minimizing the expected cost differences for the reinsurer. The numerical results highlight the significant role of claim correlation and various contract parameters in achieving optimal risk-sharing and equitable cost allocation. This research provides both theoretical insights and practical guidance for designing modern reinsurance mechanisms by incorporating stochastic volatility into a multi-insurer contract structure.

 


Affiliation: Cryptography

Speaker: Gözde Cennet Bayraktar

Date/Time: 4.12.2025 - 14.30

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: We give a complete solution to an open problem by using the spectral method on the polynomial generator matrices of quasicyclic codes of an arbitrary index, with the corresponding reduced Gröbner basis of the given quasi-cyclic code. To be more specific, we construct a full generator matrix over a suitable extension field of the given base field using this method. For indices 2 and 3, we demonstrate two respective examples to show how we construct the full generator matrix from the given polynomial generator matrix. Moreover, we show that the reduced Gröbner basis of the subclass of 2D-cyclic codes should provide a polynomial generator matrix in diagonal form in the cases of index 2 and index 3.

 


Affiliation: Financial Mathematics

Speaker: Oğuz Koç

Date/Time: 27.11.2025 - 15.00

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: Accurate inflation forecasting is essential for policymakers, businesses, and households because it shapes budgeting, monetary policy decisions, investment planning, wage setting, and overall economic stability. Yet inflation is difficult to predict due to the combined effects of monetary and fiscal policies, global conditions, shocks, and geopolitical risks. This study proposes a dynamic multinomial framework designed to capture both the underlying structure of macroeconomic data and the evolving regimes that drive inflation dynamics. The model integrates fuzzy logic with principal component analysis to create Fuzzy-Inferred PCA (FIPCA), a dimensionality reduction method that represents uncertainty and nonlinear interactions among macroeconomic variables. This produces a condensed time series that more effectively summarizes the broader economic environment compared to traditional PCA. This macroeconomic indicator is then used within a Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model that identifies long-term economic regimes and produces state probabilities reflecting shifts in inflation behavior. These regimes guide a stochastic process based on Geometric Brownian Motion, allowing inflation paths to evolve according to changing economic conditions rather than fixed parameters. Regime-specific parameters are estimated using data subsets aligned with the identified states, providing a flexible structure that adapts to transitions in the economy. The resulting hybrid framework demonstrates that combining fuzzy-enhanced dimensionality reduction, regime identification, and state-dependent stochastic modeling can improve the accuracy and reliability of inflation forecasting in environments subject to structural change and uncertainty.

 


Affiliation: Actuarial Sciences

Speaker: Cem Yavrum

Date/Time: 27.11.2025 - 14.30

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: Climate anomalies pose significant threats to agricultural productivity and food security by severely disrupting crop yields. This study models annual crop yields across U.S. states by incorporating extreme weather covariates, specifically the components of the Actuaries Climate Index, which has gained recent popularity in climate-related risk applications. To capture the dynamic interdependence among weather variables, we use copula models. The resulting copula-based dependence parameters are subsequently integrated into a class of stochastic differential equations, enabling  dynamic quantification of climate effects on crop yield outcomes.

 


Affiliation: Actuarial Sciences

Speaker: Meral Şimşek

Date/Time: 20.11.2025 - 15.00

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: In this study, we solve exit problems for a level-dependent Lévy processes which is exponentially killed with a killing intensity that depends on the present state of the process. Moreover, we analyse the respective resolvents. All identities are given in terms of new generalisations of scale functions (counterparts of the scale function from the theory of  Lévy processes), which are solutions of Volterra integral equations. Furthermore, we obtain similar results for the reflected level-dependent  Lévy processes. The existence of the solution of the stochastic differential equation for reflected level-dependent L´evy processes is also discussed. Finally, to illustrate our result the probability of bankruptcy is obtained for an insurance risk process.

 


Affiliation: Cryptography

Speaker: Burcu Ecem Karakaş

Date/Time: 20.11.2025 - 14.30

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Hall, IAM/METU 

Abstract: Private Information Retrieval (PIR) scheme aims to retrieve data from a database without revealing any details about the identity of the data. The PIR scheme for coded storage systems with colluding servers gives a better PIR rate when the storage code and retrieval code have transitive automorphism groups. In this work, we study the transitivity of nD-cyclic codes and then PIR schemes from them together with several examples of nD-cyclic codes with better PIR rates. Then, we show the monomial equivalence between nD-cyclic codes and certain nD-constacyclic codes, which can be used as an alternative family of transitive codes. 

 


Affiliation: Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University

Place: Hayri Körezlioğlu Seminar Room (S-212)

Date/Time:  October 24 - .., 2025 Friday, 15:30- 16:30

About:CRAFT is a lightweight tweakable block cipher designed to provide protection against differential fault analysis (DFA) while maintaining a balance between security, efficiency, and implementation simplicity. The cipher achieves its main design goal—fault attack resistance—with minimal area and performance overhead. In addition, CRAFT offers one of the smallest hardware footprints among 64-bit block ciphers with a 128-bit key, and its design enables both encryption and decryption to be implemented in a single circuit with negligible additional cost. In this talk, I will discuss the design principles and decisions that shaped CRAFT, emphasizing the rationale behind its round function, tweak-key schedule. I will also present an analysis technique that was not known at the time of design but was later discovered to provide the most effective approach for analyzing the highest number of rounds of the cipher. This insight offers a deeper understanding of CRAFT's and similar ciphers' security margin.Bio: Shahram Rasoolzadeh has been a researcher in the group of Prof. Gregor Leander at Ruhr University Bochum, Germany, since February 2024. He received his Ph.D. in December 2020 and subsequently held a postdoctoral position at Radboud University Nijmegen, working with Prof. Joan Daemen. His research focuses on the design and cryptanalysis of symmetric cryptographic algorithms, as well as the study and analysis of Boolean functions. He is a co-designer of the CRAFT, PRINCEv2, SPEEDY, BipBip, Koala, ChiLow, Sonic, and SuperSonic ciphers. He has authored over 30 peer-reviewed journal and conference papers, including three single-author papers published in FSE/ToSC. His work has been recognized with best paper awards at FSE/ToSC 2024 and iSecure 2016.He has served as a Program Committee member for several cryptography-focused conferences, journals, and workshops, including USENIX Security 2026, EUROCRYPT 2026, ASIACRYPT 2024, ToSC 2024–2026, and CiC 2025–2026. In addition, he is a co-organizer of the Spring School on Symmetric Cryptography (2025 and 2026) and has co-organized the Lorentz Workshop on Symmetric Cryptography 2024 and the Low-Latency Encryption (LLE) workshops in 2024 and 2025..

Affiliation: Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University

Place: Online

Date/Time:  March 5 - .., 2024

About:Seminar series on *Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space* and its applications, particularly in *Machine Learning*, organised by the Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University. As the Seminar Series consists of both *Learning Lectures* and *Expert Talks*, anyone who is interested in the topic is cordially welcome. The events website is located here. Please, fill in the **Participation Form** on the dedicated website and check the **Schedule** for the scheduled talks (or lectures); as most of the seminars will be online (using Microsoft Teams or others), please pay attention to **(self-)register** to each of these events to get the *online participation* link via email.

Affiliation: Mathematics, İzmir İnstitute of Technology (İYTE)

Speaker:  Assoc. Prof. Dr. Orhun KARA

Place:  METU Cryptology Lab

Date/Time: 20.06.2023 - 21.06.2023 

Workshop Program: 20 June, Tuesday 9:30 - 10:20 Fundamental concepts of ID attacks 10:20 - 10:50 Coffee break 10:50 - 11:40 ID attacks on AES-I 11:40 – 14:00 LUNCH 14:00 – 15:00 ID attacks on AES-II 15:00 – 15:30 Coffee break 15:30 - 16:30 New results on ID analysis: Data complexities of ID attacks on SPNs 21 June, Wednesday 9:30 – 10:20 New results on ID analysis of AES: Data complexities of ID attacks on AES 10:20 - 10:50 Coffee break 10:50 – 11:40 New results on ID analysis of AES: Provable security and low data attacks AES *Bu çalıştay 121E228 nolu TÜBİTAK 1001 projesi tarafından desteklenmiştir.

Affiliation: Fizik Mühendisliği, Ankara University

Speaker:  Hasan Özgür Çıldıroğlu

Place: Online - https://zoom.us/j/92462211844?pwd=OWJwWWlscmVZNWt3MlFId3p1NTVZQT09

Date/Time: 16.05.2023 - 15.30 

Abstract: Quantum computing technologies offer extremely fast and reliable solutions far beyond what can be done with classical computing methods by taking advantage of quantum mechanical phenomena such as entanglement, superposition, and annealing. One of the quantum computing techniques that has gained prominence in terms of development and potential applications at the intersection of physics, mathematics, and computer sciences with the aim of proving quantum supremacy and creating a universal quantum computer is digital quantum computing. In this method, circuits created utilizing quantum bits (also known as qubits) conduct fundamental calculations via quantum logic gates in a manner similar to that of classical digital circuits and computers. In this regard, the first part of the seminar will cover quantum logic gates after outlining the foundations of quantum mechanics and setting the stage for research on quantum computing. Basic quantum algorithms will be examined using the digital quantum computing method after creating circuit design examples as an illustration.